EDGERATING
Methodology

BET vs GET

Real Betis (home) vs Getafe · model confidence 80%

Match Outcome

BET win 50.6% fair 1.98
Draw 26.3% fair 3.80
GET win 23.0% fair 4.34

Expected Goals

BET 1.46 0.86 GET
Over 2.5 goals40.8%fair 2.45
Under 2.5 goals59.2%fair 1.69
Both teams to score44.2%fair 2.26

Most Likely Scores

BET 1-0 GET14.4%
BET 1-1 GET12.3%
BET 2-0 GET10.5%
BET 0-0 GET9.9%
BET 2-1 GET9.0%

Scoreline Matrix

012345+
0 9.9 8.5 3.6 1.0 0.2 0.0
1 14.4 12.3 5.3 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.5 9.0 3.9 1.1 0.2 0.0
3 5.1 4.4 1.9 0.5 0.1 0.0
4 1.9 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
5+ 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0

Rows: BET goals · Columns: GET goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).

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