BET vs RAY
Real Betis (home) vs Rayo Vallecano · model confidence 83% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
BET win 55.5% fair 1.80
Draw 22.6% fair 4.42
RAY win 21.8% fair 4.58
Expected Goals
BET
1.87
—
1.05
RAY
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.7% | fair 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44.3% | fair 2.26 |
| Both teams to score | 54.9% | fair 1.82 |
Most Likely Scores
| BET 1-1 RAY | 10.6% | |
| BET 1-0 RAY | 10.1% | |
| BET 2-1 RAY | 9.9% | |
| BET 2-0 RAY | 9.5% | |
| BET 3-1 RAY | 6.2% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.4 | 5.7 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 10.1 | 10.6 | 5.6 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.5 | 9.9 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.9 | 6.2 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.7 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: BET goals · Columns: RAY goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).