BET vs RMA
Real Betis (home) vs Real Madrid · model confidence 83%
Match Outcome
BET win 31.8% fair 3.14
Draw 23.9% fair 4.19
RMA win 44.3% fair 2.26
Expected Goals
BET
1.32
—
1.68
RMA
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.7% | fair 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42.3% | fair 2.36 |
| Both teams to score | 59.7% | fair 1.68 |
Most Likely Scores
| BET 1-1 RMA | 11.0% | |
| BET 1-2 RMA | 9.3% | |
| BET 0-1 RMA | 8.4% | |
| BET 2-1 RMA | 7.3% | |
| BET 0-2 RMA | 7.0% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.0 | 8.4 | 7.0 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 | 6.6 | 11.0 | 9.3 | 5.2 | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| 2 | 4.3 | 7.3 | 6.1 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| 3 | 1.9 | 3.2 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: BET goals · Columns: RMA goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).