BET vs SEV
Real Betis (home) vs Sevilla · model confidence 83% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
BET win 53.9% fair 1.85
Draw 22.3% fair 4.49
SEV win 23.8% fair 4.20
Expected Goals
BET
1.93
—
1.18
SEV
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.3% | fair 1.66 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39.7% | fair 2.52 |
| Both teams to score | 59.4% | fair 1.68 |
Most Likely Scores
| BET 1-1 SEV | 10.1% | |
| BET 2-1 SEV | 9.8% | |
| BET 1-0 SEV | 8.6% | |
| BET 2-0 SEV | 8.3% | |
| BET 3-1 SEV | 6.3% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.4 | 5.2 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 8.6 | 10.1 | 6.0 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 8.3 | 9.8 | 5.8 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 5.3 | 6.3 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.6 | 3.1 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: BET goals · Columns: SEV goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).