BET vs VAL
Real Betis (home) vs Valencia · model confidence 83% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
BET win 57.7% fair 1.73
Draw 22.2% fair 4.50
VAL win 20.1% fair 4.98
Expected Goals
BET
1.91
—
0.98
VAL
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.1% | fair 1.81 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44.9% | fair 2.23 |
| Both teams to score | 53.2% | fair 1.88 |
Most Likely Scores
| BET 1-0 VAL | 10.6% | |
| BET 1-1 VAL | 10.4% | |
| BET 2-0 VAL | 10.1% | |
| BET 2-1 VAL | 9.9% | |
| BET 3-0 VAL | 6.4% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.6 | 5.5 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 10.6 | 10.4 | 5.1 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.1 | 9.9 | 4.9 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.4 | 6.3 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 1.7 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: BET goals · Columns: VAL goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).