BET vs VIL
Real Betis (home) vs Villarreal · model confidence 84% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
BET win 42.7% fair 2.34
Draw 23.9% fair 4.19
VIL win 33.4% fair 3.00
Expected Goals
BET
1.63
—
1.43
VIL
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.1% | fair 1.69 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40.9% | fair 2.45 |
| Both teams to score | 61.3% | fair 1.63 |
Most Likely Scores
| BET 1-1 VIL | 10.9% | |
| BET 2-1 VIL | 8.9% | |
| BET 1-2 VIL | 7.8% | |
| BET 1-0 VIL | 7.6% | |
| BET 0-1 VIL | 6.7% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.7 | 6.7 | 4.8 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 7.6 | 10.9 | 7.8 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 6.2 | 8.9 | 6.4 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 3.4 | 4.8 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: BET goals · Columns: VIL goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).