CEL vs BET
Celta Vigo (home) vs Real Betis · model confidence 80%
Match Outcome
CEL win 39.1% fair 2.55
Draw 25.4% fair 3.94
BET win 35.5% fair 2.82
Expected Goals
CEL
1.40
—
1.35
BET
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.8% | fair 1.93 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48.2% | fair 2.07 |
| Both teams to score | 55.7% | fair 1.79 |
Most Likely Scores
| CEL 1-1 BET | 12.1% | |
| CEL 1-0 BET | 9.0% | |
| CEL 0-1 BET | 8.7% | |
| CEL 2-1 BET | 8.4% | |
| CEL 1-2 BET | 8.2% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.4 | 8.7 | 5.9 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 9.0 | 12.1 | 8.2 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 6.2 | 8.4 | 5.7 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 2.9 | 3.9 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: CEL goals · Columns: BET goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).