CEL vs GET
Celta Vigo (home) vs Getafe · model confidence 83% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
CEL win 48.6% fair 2.06
Draw 28.7% fair 3.49
GET win 22.7% fair 4.40
Expected Goals
CEL
1.27
—
0.75
GET
| Over 2.5 goals | 33.0% | fair 3.03 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 67.0% | fair 1.49 |
| Both teams to score | 38.0% | fair 2.63 |
Most Likely Scores
| CEL 1-0 GET | 16.8% | |
| CEL 0-0 GET | 13.2% | |
| CEL 1-1 GET | 12.6% | |
| CEL 2-0 GET | 10.7% | |
| CEL 0-1 GET | 9.9% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.2 | 9.9 | 3.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 16.8 | 12.6 | 4.7 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 10.7 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 4.5 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: CEL goals · Columns: GET goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).