ELC vs FCB
Elche (home) vs Barcelona · model confidence 82%
Match Outcome
ELC win 17.2% fair 5.81
Draw 17.6% fair 5.67
FCB win 65.1% fair 1.54
Expected Goals
ELC
1.06
—
2.53
FCB
| Over 2.5 goals | 69.4% | fair 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 30.6% | fair 3.27 |
| Both teams to score | 60.0% | fair 1.67 |
Most Likely Scores
| ELC 1-2 FCB | 9.4% | |
| ELC 0-2 FCB | 8.9% | |
| ELC 1-3 FCB | 7.9% | |
| ELC 0-3 FCB | 7.5% | |
| ELC 1-1 FCB | 7.4% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.8 | 7.0 | 8.9 | 7.5 | 4.7 | 3.9 |
| 1 | 2.9 | 7.4 | 9.4 | 7.9 | 5.0 | 4.1 |
| 2 | 1.6 | 3.9 | 5.0 | 4.2 | 2.6 | 2.2 |
| 3 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| 4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| 5+ | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
Rows: ELC goals · Columns: FCB goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).