ELC vs BET
Elche (home) vs Real Betis · model confidence 83% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
ELC win 35.4% fair 2.82
Draw 24.2% fair 4.13
BET win 40.4% fair 2.48
Expected Goals
ELC
1.41
—
1.58
BET
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.4% | fair 1.74 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42.6% | fair 2.35 |
| Both teams to score | 60.0% | fair 1.67 |
Most Likely Scores
| ELC 1-1 BET | 11.2% | |
| ELC 1-2 BET | 8.8% | |
| ELC 0-1 BET | 7.9% | |
| ELC 2-1 BET | 7.9% | |
| ELC 1-0 BET | 7.1% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.0 | 7.9 | 6.3 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 1 | 7.1 | 11.2 | 8.8 | 4.6 | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 2 | 5.0 | 7.9 | 6.2 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 2.4 | 3.7 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: ELC goals · Columns: BET goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).