ELC vs GET
Elche (home) vs Getafe · model confidence 82% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
ELC win 46.6% fair 2.15
Draw 27.2% fair 3.68
GET win 26.3% fair 3.81
Expected Goals
ELC
1.36
—
0.94
GET
| Over 2.5 goals | 40.4% | fair 2.47 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 59.6% | fair 1.68 |
| Both teams to score | 45.3% | fair 2.21 |
Most Likely Scores
| ELC 1-0 GET | 13.6% | |
| ELC 1-1 GET | 12.8% | |
| ELC 0-0 GET | 10.0% | |
| ELC 0-1 GET | 9.4% | |
| ELC 2-0 GET | 9.3% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.0 | 9.4 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 13.6 | 12.8 | 6.0 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.3 | 8.7 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 4.2 | 4.0 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: ELC goals · Columns: GET goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).