ELC vs LEV
Elche (home) vs Levante · model confidence 81% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
ELC win 47.7% fair 2.10
Draw 23.1% fair 4.32
LEV win 29.2% fair 3.43
Expected Goals
ELC
1.80
—
1.36
LEV
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.1% | fair 1.64 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38.9% | fair 2.57 |
| Both teams to score | 62.0% | fair 1.61 |
Most Likely Scores
| ELC 1-1 LEV | 10.4% | |
| ELC 2-1 LEV | 9.4% | |
| ELC 1-0 LEV | 7.7% | |
| ELC 1-2 LEV | 7.1% | |
| ELC 2-0 LEV | 6.9% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.3 | 5.8 | 3.9 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 7.7 | 10.4 | 7.1 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 6.9 | 9.4 | 6.3 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 4.1 | 5.6 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: ELC goals · Columns: LEV goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).