ESP vs GET
Espanyol (home) vs Getafe · model confidence 83% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
ESP win 42.4% fair 2.36
Draw 29.1% fair 3.43
GET win 28.5% fair 3.51
Expected Goals
ESP
1.18
—
0.91
GET
| Over 2.5 goals | 34.6% | fair 2.89 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 65.4% | fair 1.53 |
| Both teams to score | 41.3% | fair 2.42 |
Most Likely Scores
| ESP 1-0 GET | 14.6% | |
| ESP 1-1 GET | 13.3% | |
| ESP 0-0 GET | 12.4% | |
| ESP 0-1 GET | 11.3% | |
| ESP 2-0 GET | 8.6% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.4 | 11.3 | 5.1 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 14.6 | 13.3 | 6.0 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.6 | 7.8 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.4 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: ESP goals · Columns: GET goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).