GET vs ALA
Getafe (home) vs Alavés · model confidence 83% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
GET win 37.0% fair 2.71
Draw 29.4% fair 3.40
ALA win 33.6% fair 2.98
Expected Goals
GET
1.06
—
1.03
ALA
| Over 2.5 goals | 34.7% | fair 2.88 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 65.3% | fair 1.53 |
| Both teams to score | 42.0% | fair 2.38 |
Most Likely Scores
| GET 1-1 ALA | 13.5% | |
| GET 1-0 ALA | 13.2% | |
| GET 0-1 ALA | 12.7% | |
| GET 0-0 ALA | 12.4% | |
| GET 2-1 ALA | 7.2% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.4 | 12.7 | 6.5 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 13.2 | 13.5 | 6.9 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 7.0 | 7.2 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: GET goals · Columns: ALA goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).