GET vs ATH
Getafe (home) vs Athletic Club · model confidence 82% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
GET win 35.8% fair 2.79
Draw 29.5% fair 3.39
ATH win 34.6% fair 2.89
Expected Goals
GET
1.03
—
1.04
ATH
| Over 2.5 goals | 34.4% | fair 2.91 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 65.6% | fair 1.52 |
| Both teams to score | 41.7% | fair 2.40 |
Most Likely Scores
| GET 1-1 ATH | 13.5% | |
| GET 0-1 ATH | 13.1% | |
| GET 1-0 ATH | 13.0% | |
| GET 0-0 ATH | 12.6% | |
| GET 1-2 ATH | 7.0% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.6 | 13.1 | 6.8 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 13.0 | 13.5 | 7.0 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 6.7 | 7.0 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: GET goals · Columns: ATH goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).