GET vs ATM
Getafe (home) vs Atlético Madrid · model confidence 81%
Match Outcome
GET win 30.4% fair 3.28
Draw 27.6% fair 3.63
ATM win 42.0% fair 2.38
Expected Goals
GET
0.99
—
1.30
ATM
| Over 2.5 goals | 40.1% | fair 2.50 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 59.9% | fair 1.67 |
| Both teams to score | 45.7% | fair 2.19 |
Most Likely Scores
| GET 0-1 ATM | 13.2% | |
| GET 1-1 ATM | 13.0% | |
| GET 0-0 ATM | 10.2% | |
| GET 1-0 ATM | 10.1% | |
| GET 0-2 ATM | 8.5% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.2 | 13.2 | 8.5 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 10.1 | 13.0 | 8.5 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 5.0 | 6.5 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: GET goals · Columns: ATM goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).