GET vs FCB
Getafe (home) vs Barcelona · model confidence 86% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
GET win 13.8% fair 7.23
Draw 17.5% fair 5.71
FCB win 68.7% fair 1.46
Expected Goals
GET
0.81
—
2.36
FCB
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.3% | fair 1.63 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38.7% | fair 2.59 |
| Both teams to score | 50.1% | fair 1.99 |
Most Likely Scores
| GET 0-2 FCB | 11.7% | |
| GET 0-1 FCB | 9.9% | |
| GET 1-2 FCB | 9.5% | |
| GET 0-3 FCB | 9.2% | |
| GET 1-1 FCB | 8.0% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.2 | 9.9 | 11.7 | 9.2 | 5.5 | 4.1 |
| 1 | 3.4 | 8.0 | 9.5 | 7.4 | 4.4 | 3.3 |
| 2 | 1.4 | 3.2 | 3.8 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| 3 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| 4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: GET goals · Columns: FCB goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).