GET vs ELC
Getafe (home) vs Elche · model confidence 82% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
GET win 36.5% fair 2.74
Draw 28.2% fair 3.55
ELC win 35.3% fair 2.83
Expected Goals
GET
1.13
—
1.14
ELC
| Over 2.5 goals | 39.4% | fair 2.54 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 60.6% | fair 1.65 |
| Both teams to score | 45.9% | fair 2.18 |
Most Likely Scores
| GET 1-1 ELC | 13.3% | |
| GET 0-1 ELC | 11.8% | |
| GET 1-0 ELC | 11.7% | |
| GET 0-0 ELC | 10.4% | |
| GET 1-2 ELC | 7.6% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.4 | 11.8 | 6.7 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 11.7 | 13.3 | 7.6 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 6.6 | 7.5 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: GET goals · Columns: ELC goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).