GET vs ESP
Getafe (home) vs Espanyol · model confidence 83% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
GET win 38.6% fair 2.59
Draw 29.5% fair 3.39
ESP win 31.9% fair 3.14
Expected Goals
GET
1.09
—
0.98
ESP
| Over 2.5 goals | 34.2% | fair 2.92 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 65.8% | fair 1.52 |
| Both teams to score | 41.5% | fair 2.41 |
Most Likely Scores
| GET 1-0 ESP | 13.8% | |
| GET 1-1 ESP | 13.5% | |
| GET 0-0 ESP | 12.6% | |
| GET 0-1 ESP | 12.4% | |
| GET 2-0 ESP | 7.5% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.6 | 12.4 | 6.1 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 13.8 | 13.5 | 6.6 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 7.5 | 7.3 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: GET goals · Columns: ESP goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).