GET vs LEV
Getafe (home) vs Levante · model confidence 82% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
GET win 39.4% fair 2.54
Draw 27.5% fair 3.63
LEV win 33.1% fair 3.02
Expected Goals
GET
1.23
—
1.12
LEV
| Over 2.5 goals | 41.7% | fair 2.40 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 58.3% | fair 1.72 |
| Both teams to score | 47.7% | fair 2.10 |
Most Likely Scores
| GET 1-1 LEV | 13.1% | |
| GET 1-0 LEV | 11.7% | |
| GET 0-1 LEV | 10.7% | |
| GET 0-0 LEV | 9.5% | |
| GET 2-1 LEV | 8.1% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.5 | 10.7 | 6.0 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 11.7 | 13.1 | 7.4 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.2 | 8.1 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 2.9 | 3.3 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: GET goals · Columns: LEV goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).