GET vs OSA
Getafe (home) vs Osasuna · model confidence 83% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
GET win 40.4% fair 2.48
Draw 29.0% fair 3.44
OSA win 30.6% fair 3.27
Expected Goals
GET
1.15
—
0.97
OSA
| Over 2.5 goals | 35.6% | fair 2.81 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 64.4% | fair 1.55 |
| Both teams to score | 42.5% | fair 2.35 |
Most Likely Scores
| GET 1-0 OSA | 13.8% | |
| GET 1-1 OSA | 13.4% | |
| GET 0-0 OSA | 12.0% | |
| GET 0-1 OSA | 11.6% | |
| GET 2-0 OSA | 7.9% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.0 | 11.6 | 5.7 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 13.8 | 13.4 | 6.5 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 7.9 | 7.7 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: GET goals · Columns: OSA goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).