GET vs RSO
Getafe (home) vs Real Sociedad · model confidence 83% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
GET win 35.8% fair 2.79
Draw 26.1% fair 3.83
RSO win 38.1% fair 2.63
Expected Goals
GET
1.25
—
1.35
RSO
| Over 2.5 goals | 48.2% | fair 2.07 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51.8% | fair 1.93 |
| Both teams to score | 52.9% | fair 1.89 |
Most Likely Scores
| GET 1-1 RSO | 12.5% | |
| GET 0-1 RSO | 10.0% | |
| GET 1-0 RSO | 9.3% | |
| GET 1-2 RSO | 8.4% | |
| GET 2-1 RSO | 7.9% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.4 | 10.0 | 6.7 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 9.3 | 12.5 | 8.4 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 5.8 | 7.9 | 5.3 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: GET goals · Columns: RSO goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).