GET vs SEV
Getafe (home) vs Sevilla · model confidence 83% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
GET win 37.0% fair 2.70
Draw 28.0% fair 3.58
SEV win 35.1% fair 2.85
Expected Goals
GET
1.15
—
1.14
SEV
| Over 2.5 goals | 40.2% | fair 2.48 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 59.8% | fair 1.67 |
| Both teams to score | 46.6% | fair 2.15 |
Most Likely Scores
| GET 1-1 SEV | 13.3% | |
| GET 1-0 SEV | 11.6% | |
| GET 0-1 SEV | 11.5% | |
| GET 0-0 SEV | 10.1% | |
| GET 2-1 SEV | 7.6% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.1 | 11.5 | 6.6 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 11.6 | 13.3 | 7.6 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 6.7 | 7.6 | 4.4 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: GET goals · Columns: SEV goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).