GET vs VAL
Getafe (home) vs Valencia · model confidence 83% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
GET win 40.4% fair 2.47
Draw 29.3% fair 3.41
VAL win 30.2% fair 3.31
Expected Goals
GET
1.13
—
0.95
VAL
| Over 2.5 goals | 34.6% | fair 2.89 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 65.4% | fair 1.53 |
| Both teams to score | 41.6% | fair 2.41 |
Most Likely Scores
| GET 1-0 VAL | 14.1% | |
| GET 1-1 VAL | 13.4% | |
| GET 0-0 VAL | 12.5% | |
| GET 0-1 VAL | 11.8% | |
| GET 2-0 VAL | 8.0% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.5 | 11.8 | 5.6 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 14.1 | 13.4 | 6.4 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.0 | 7.6 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: GET goals · Columns: VAL goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).