LEV vs ATM
Levante (home) vs Atlético Madrid · model confidence 83% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
LEV win 26.7% fair 3.75
Draw 22.9% fair 4.38
ATM win 50.5% fair 1.98
Expected Goals
LEV
1.20
—
1.85
ATM
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.8% | fair 1.70 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41.2% | fair 2.42 |
| Both teams to score | 58.8% | fair 1.70 |
Most Likely Scores
| LEV 1-1 ATM | 10.5% | |
| LEV 1-2 ATM | 9.7% | |
| LEV 0-1 ATM | 8.8% | |
| LEV 0-2 ATM | 8.1% | |
| LEV 2-1 ATM | 6.3% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.7 | 8.8 | 8.1 | 5.0 | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| 1 | 5.7 | 10.5 | 9.7 | 6.0 | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| 2 | 3.4 | 6.3 | 5.8 | 3.6 | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| 3 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: LEV goals · Columns: ATM goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).