LEV vs FCB
Levante (home) vs Barcelona · model confidence 82%
Match Outcome
LEV win 17.0% fair 5.89
Draw 17.9% fair 5.59
FCB win 65.1% fair 1.54
Expected Goals
LEV
1.01
—
2.46
FCB
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.4% | fair 1.48 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 32.6% | fair 3.06 |
| Both teams to score | 58.1% | fair 1.72 |
Most Likely Scores
| LEV 1-2 FCB | 9.5% | |
| LEV 0-2 FCB | 9.4% | |
| LEV 1-3 FCB | 7.8% | |
| LEV 0-3 FCB | 7.7% | |
| LEV 1-1 FCB | 7.7% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.1 | 7.7 | 9.4 | 7.7 | 4.8 | 3.8 |
| 1 | 3.1 | 7.7 | 9.5 | 7.8 | 4.8 | 3.8 |
| 2 | 1.6 | 3.9 | 4.8 | 3.9 | 2.4 | 1.9 |
| 3 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| 5+ | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: LEV goals · Columns: FCB goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).