LEV vs ELC
Levante (home) vs Elche · model confidence 81% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
LEV win 41.5% fair 2.41
Draw 23.7% fair 4.22
ELC win 34.8% fair 2.88
Expected Goals
LEV
1.63
—
1.50
ELC
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.5% | fair 1.65 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39.5% | fair 2.53 |
| Both teams to score | 62.4% | fair 1.60 |
Most Likely Scores
| LEV 1-1 ELC | 10.7% | |
| LEV 2-1 ELC | 8.7% | |
| LEV 1-2 ELC | 8.0% | |
| LEV 1-0 ELC | 7.1% | |
| LEV 0-1 ELC | 6.6% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.4 | 6.6 | 4.9 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 7.1 | 10.7 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| 2 | 5.8 | 8.7 | 6.5 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 3.2 | 4.7 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: LEV goals · Columns: ELC goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).