LEV vs ESP
Levante (home) vs Espanyol · model confidence 82% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
LEV win 44.2% fair 2.26
Draw 24.6% fair 4.07
ESP win 31.2% fair 3.21
Expected Goals
LEV
1.58
—
1.29
ESP
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.7% | fair 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45.3% | fair 2.21 |
| Both teams to score | 57.6% | fair 1.74 |
Most Likely Scores
| LEV 1-1 ESP | 11.6% | |
| LEV 2-1 ESP | 9.1% | |
| LEV 1-0 ESP | 8.9% | |
| LEV 1-2 ESP | 7.5% | |
| LEV 0-1 ESP | 7.3% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.7 | 7.3 | 4.7 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 8.9 | 11.6 | 7.5 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 7.1 | 9.1 | 5.9 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 3.7 | 4.8 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: LEV goals · Columns: ESP goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).