LEV vs GET
Levante (home) vs Getafe · model confidence 82% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
LEV win 44.3% fair 2.26
Draw 27.1% fair 3.70
GET win 28.6% fair 3.49
Expected Goals
LEV
1.35
—
1.02
GET
| Over 2.5 goals | 42.2% | fair 2.37 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 57.8% | fair 1.73 |
| Both teams to score | 47.4% | fair 2.11 |
Most Likely Scores
| LEV 1-1 GET | 12.9% | |
| LEV 1-0 GET | 12.6% | |
| LEV 0-1 GET | 9.6% | |
| LEV 0-0 GET | 9.4% | |
| LEV 2-1 GET | 8.7% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.4 | 9.6 | 4.9 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 12.6 | 12.9 | 6.6 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.5 | 8.7 | 4.4 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.8 | 3.9 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: LEV goals · Columns: GET goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).