LEV vs OSA
Levante (home) vs Osasuna · model confidence 82% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
LEV win 46.3% fair 2.16
Draw 24.1% fair 4.16
OSA win 29.6% fair 3.38
Expected Goals
LEV
1.66
—
1.28
OSA
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.5% | fair 1.77 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 43.5% | fair 2.30 |
| Both teams to score | 58.6% | fair 1.71 |
Most Likely Scores
| LEV 1-1 OSA | 11.2% | |
| LEV 2-1 OSA | 9.3% | |
| LEV 1-0 OSA | 8.7% | |
| LEV 2-0 OSA | 7.3% | |
| LEV 1-2 OSA | 7.2% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.3 | 6.7 | 4.3 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 8.7 | 11.2 | 7.2 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 7.3 | 9.3 | 6.0 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 4.0 | 5.2 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: LEV goals · Columns: OSA goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).