LEV vs RSO
Levante (home) vs Real Sociedad · model confidence 82% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
LEV win 40.4% fair 2.47
Draw 22.2% fair 4.51
RSO win 37.4% fair 2.67
Expected Goals
LEV
1.82
—
1.78
RSO
| Over 2.5 goals | 69.6% | fair 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 30.4% | fair 3.29 |
| Both teams to score | 69.6% | fair 1.44 |
Most Likely Scores
| LEV 1-1 RSO | 8.9% | |
| LEV 2-1 RSO | 8.1% | |
| LEV 1-2 RSO | 7.9% | |
| LEV 2-2 RSO | 7.2% | |
| LEV 1-0 RSO | 5.0% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.7 | 4.9 | 4.3 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| 1 | 5.0 | 8.9 | 7.9 | 4.7 | 2.1 | 1.0 |
| 2 | 4.5 | 8.1 | 7.2 | 4.2 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| 3 | 2.7 | 4.9 | 4.3 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| 4 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| 5+ | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
Rows: LEV goals · Columns: RSO goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).