LEV vs VAL
Levante (home) vs Valencia · model confidence 82% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
LEV win 46.5% fair 2.15
Draw 24.3% fair 4.12
VAL win 29.3% fair 3.41
Expected Goals
LEV
1.64
—
1.25
VAL
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.2% | fair 1.81 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44.8% | fair 2.23 |
| Both teams to score | 57.6% | fair 1.74 |
Most Likely Scores
| LEV 1-1 VAL | 11.4% | |
| LEV 2-1 VAL | 9.3% | |
| LEV 1-0 VAL | 9.1% | |
| LEV 2-0 VAL | 7.5% | |
| LEV 1-2 VAL | 7.1% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.5 | 6.9 | 4.3 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 9.1 | 11.4 | 7.1 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 7.5 | 9.3 | 5.8 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 4.1 | 5.1 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: LEV goals · Columns: VAL goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).