OSA vs BET
Osasuna (home) vs Real Betis · model confidence 83% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
OSA win 30.4% fair 3.29
Draw 24.6% fair 4.07
BET win 45.1% fair 2.22
Expected Goals
OSA
1.21
—
1.61
BET
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.5% | fair 1.87 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46.5% | fair 2.15 |
| Both teams to score | 56.1% | fair 1.78 |
Most Likely Scores
| OSA 1-1 BET | 11.6% | |
| OSA 0-1 BET | 9.6% | |
| OSA 1-2 BET | 9.4% | |
| OSA 0-2 BET | 7.7% | |
| OSA 1-0 BET | 7.2% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.0 | 9.6 | 7.7 | 4.2 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| 1 | 7.2 | 11.6 | 9.4 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.9 |
| 2 | 4.4 | 7.0 | 5.6 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: OSA goals · Columns: BET goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).