RAY vs BET
Rayo Vallecano (home) vs Real Betis · model confidence 83% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
RAY win 32.3% fair 3.10
Draw 24.8% fair 4.03
BET win 42.9% fair 2.33
Expected Goals
RAY
1.26
—
1.56
BET
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.3% | fair 1.88 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46.7% | fair 2.14 |
| Both teams to score | 56.4% | fair 1.77 |
Most Likely Scores
| RAY 1-1 BET | 11.7% | |
| RAY 0-1 BET | 9.3% | |
| RAY 1-2 BET | 9.1% | |
| RAY 1-0 BET | 7.6% | |
| RAY 2-1 BET | 7.4% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.0 | 9.3 | 7.3 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| 1 | 7.6 | 11.7 | 9.1 | 4.7 | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 2 | 4.7 | 7.4 | 5.7 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 2.0 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: RAY goals · Columns: BET goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).