RAY vs GET
Rayo Vallecano (home) vs Getafe · model confidence 83% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
RAY win 43.0% fair 2.32
Draw 28.7% fair 3.48
GET win 28.3% fair 3.54
Expected Goals
RAY
1.21
—
0.93
GET
| Over 2.5 goals | 36.1% | fair 2.77 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 63.9% | fair 1.56 |
| Both teams to score | 42.4% | fair 2.36 |
Most Likely Scores
| RAY 1-0 GET | 14.3% | |
| RAY 1-1 GET | 13.2% | |
| RAY 0-0 GET | 11.8% | |
| RAY 0-1 GET | 10.9% | |
| RAY 2-0 GET | 8.7% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.8 | 10.9 | 5.0 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 14.3 | 13.2 | 6.1 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.7 | 8.0 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.5 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: RAY goals · Columns: GET goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).