RMA vs BET
Real Madrid (home) vs Real Betis · model confidence 86% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
RMA win 60.8% fair 1.65
Draw 20.3% fair 4.93
BET win 19.0% fair 5.27
Expected Goals
RMA
2.17
—
1.08
BET
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.0% | fair 1.59 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 37.0% | fair 2.70 |
| Both teams to score | 58.5% | fair 1.71 |
Most Likely Scores
| RMA 2-1 BET | 9.9% | |
| RMA 2-0 BET | 9.1% | |
| RMA 1-1 BET | 9.1% | |
| RMA 1-0 BET | 8.4% | |
| RMA 3-1 BET | 7.1% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.9 | 4.2 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 8.4 | 9.1 | 4.9 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.1 | 9.9 | 5.3 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.6 | 7.1 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 3.6 | 3.9 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 2.3 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: RMA goals · Columns: BET goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).