RMA vs CEL
Real Madrid (home) vs Celta Vigo · model confidence 82%
Match Outcome
RMA win 61.5% fair 1.63
Draw 20.3% fair 4.93
CEL win 18.2% fair 5.50
Expected Goals
RMA
2.15
—
1.01
CEL
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.2% | fair 1.63 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38.8% | fair 2.58 |
| Both teams to score | 56.2% | fair 1.78 |
Most Likely Scores
| RMA 2-1 CEL | 9.9% | |
| RMA 2-0 CEL | 9.8% | |
| RMA 1-1 CEL | 9.2% | |
| RMA 1-0 CEL | 9.1% | |
| RMA 3-1 CEL | 7.1% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.2 | 4.3 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 9.1 | 9.2 | 4.7 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.8 | 9.9 | 5.0 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 7.0 | 7.1 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 2.4 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: RMA goals · Columns: CEL goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).