RMA vs GET
Real Madrid (home) vs Getafe · model confidence 85% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
RMA win 69.0% fair 1.45
Draw 19.1% fair 5.24
GET win 11.9% fair 8.40
Expected Goals
RMA
2.09
—
0.64
GET
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.5% | fair 1.94 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48.5% | fair 2.06 |
| Both teams to score | 41.6% | fair 2.40 |
Most Likely Scores
| RMA 2-0 GET | 14.2% | |
| RMA 1-0 GET | 13.6% | |
| RMA 3-0 GET | 9.9% | |
| RMA 2-1 GET | 9.1% | |
| RMA 1-1 GET | 8.7% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.5 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 13.6 | 8.7 | 2.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 14.2 | 9.1 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 9.9 | 6.4 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 5.2 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 3.2 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: RMA goals · Columns: GET goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).