RMA vs LEV
Real Madrid (home) vs Levante · model confidence 84% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
RMA win 72.9% fair 1.37
Draw 15.3% fair 6.54
LEV win 11.8% fair 8.44
Expected Goals
RMA
2.76
—
0.93
LEV
| Over 2.5 goals | 71.3% | fair 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 28.7% | fair 3.48 |
| Both teams to score | 56.7% | fair 1.76 |
Most Likely Scores
| RMA 2-0 LEV | 9.5% | |
| RMA 2-1 LEV | 8.8% | |
| RMA 3-0 LEV | 8.7% | |
| RMA 3-1 LEV | 8.1% | |
| RMA 1-0 LEV | 6.9% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 6.9 | 6.4 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 9.5 | 8.8 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 8.7 | 8.1 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 6.0 | 5.6 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 5.8 | 5.4 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
Rows: RMA goals · Columns: LEV goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).