RMA vs RSO
Real Madrid (home) vs Real Sociedad · model confidence 81%
Match Outcome
RMA win 67.7% fair 1.48
Draw 17.1% fair 5.85
RSO win 15.2% fair 6.56
Expected Goals
RMA
2.63
—
1.09
RSO
| Over 2.5 goals | 71.7% | fair 1.39 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 28.3% | fair 3.54 |
| Both teams to score | 61.5% | fair 1.63 |
Most Likely Scores
| RMA 2-1 RSO | 9.1% | |
| RMA 2-0 RSO | 8.4% | |
| RMA 3-1 RSO | 8.0% | |
| RMA 3-0 RSO | 7.4% | |
| RMA 1-1 RSO | 6.9% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 6.4 | 6.9 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.4 | 9.1 | 5.0 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 7.4 | 8.0 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 4.9 | 5.3 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 4.3 | 4.7 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
Rows: RMA goals · Columns: RSO goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).