RMA vs SEV
Real Madrid (home) vs Sevilla · model confidence 81%
Match Outcome
RMA win 67.0% fair 1.49
Draw 17.8% fair 5.62
SEV win 15.2% fair 6.58
Expected Goals
RMA
2.48
—
1.00
SEV
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.5% | fair 1.48 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 32.5% | fair 3.08 |
| Both teams to score | 58.0% | fair 1.72 |
Most Likely Scores
| RMA 2-1 SEV | 9.5% | |
| RMA 2-0 SEV | 9.5% | |
| RMA 3-1 SEV | 7.8% | |
| RMA 3-0 SEV | 7.8% | |
| RMA 1-1 SEV | 7.7% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.1 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 7.6 | 7.7 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 4.7 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 7.8 | 7.8 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 4.8 | 4.8 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 3.9 | 3.9 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
Rows: RMA goals · Columns: SEV goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).