RSO vs ATM
Real Sociedad (home) vs Atlético Madrid · model confidence 80%
Match Outcome
RSO win 33.3% fair 3.00
Draw 23.2% fair 4.31
ATM win 43.5% fair 2.30
Expected Goals
RSO
1.44
—
1.76
ATM
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.1% | fair 1.61 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 37.9% | fair 2.64 |
| Both teams to score | 63.3% | fair 1.58 |
Most Likely Scores
| RSO 1-1 ATM | 10.3% | |
| RSO 1-2 ATM | 9.1% | |
| RSO 2-1 ATM | 7.4% | |
| RSO 0-1 ATM | 7.1% | |
| RSO 2-2 ATM | 6.6% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.0 | 7.1 | 6.3 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 | 5.8 | 10.3 | 9.1 | 5.3 | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| 2 | 4.2 | 7.4 | 6.6 | 3.9 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| 3 | 2.0 | 3.6 | 3.2 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 4 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
Rows: RSO goals · Columns: ATM goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).