RSO vs BET
Real Sociedad (home) vs Real Betis · model confidence 83% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
RSO win 37.9% fair 2.64
Draw 22.7% fair 4.41
BET win 39.4% fair 2.54
Expected Goals
RSO
1.67
—
1.76
BET
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.6% | fair 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33.4% | fair 3.00 |
| Both teams to score | 67.2% | fair 1.49 |
Most Likely Scores
| RSO 1-1 BET | 9.5% | |
| RSO 1-2 BET | 8.4% | |
| RSO 2-1 BET | 8.0% | |
| RSO 2-2 BET | 7.0% | |
| RSO 0-1 BET | 5.7% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.2 | 5.7 | 5.0 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| 1 | 5.4 | 9.5 | 8.4 | 4.9 | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| 2 | 4.5 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| 3 | 2.5 | 4.4 | 3.9 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| 4 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 5+ | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
Rows: RSO goals · Columns: BET goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).