RSO vs ELC
Real Sociedad (home) vs Elche · model confidence 82% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
RSO win 47.6% fair 2.10
Draw 22.1% fair 4.53
ELC win 30.4% fair 3.29
Expected Goals
RSO
1.96
—
1.53
ELC
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.7% | fair 1.48 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 32.3% | fair 3.10 |
| Both teams to score | 67.3% | fair 1.49 |
Most Likely Scores
| RSO 1-1 ELC | 9.2% | |
| RSO 2-1 ELC | 9.0% | |
| RSO 1-2 ELC | 7.0% | |
| RSO 2-2 ELC | 6.9% | |
| RSO 1-0 ELC | 6.0% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.1 | 4.7 | 3.6 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 6.0 | 9.2 | 7.0 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 2 | 5.8 | 9.0 | 6.9 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 3.8 | 5.8 | 4.5 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| 4 | 1.9 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 5+ | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
Rows: RSO goals · Columns: ELC goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).