RSO vs GET
Real Sociedad (home) vs Getafe · model confidence 83% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
RSO win 50.2% fair 1.99
Draw 24.7% fair 4.05
GET win 25.1% fair 3.99
Expected Goals
RSO
1.62
—
1.05
GET
| Over 2.5 goals | 49.7% | fair 2.01 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50.3% | fair 1.99 |
| Both teams to score | 52.0% | fair 1.92 |
Most Likely Scores
| RSO 1-1 GET | 11.8% | |
| RSO 1-0 GET | 11.3% | |
| RSO 2-1 GET | 9.5% | |
| RSO 2-0 GET | 9.1% | |
| RSO 0-1 GET | 7.3% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.0 | 7.3 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 11.3 | 11.8 | 6.2 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.1 | 9.5 | 5.0 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 4.9 | 5.1 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: RSO goals · Columns: GET goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).