SEV vs FCB
Sevilla (home) vs Barcelona · model confidence 82%
Match Outcome
SEV win 19.3% fair 5.18
Draw 18.8% fair 5.32
FCB win 61.9% fair 1.62
Expected Goals
SEV
1.12
—
2.39
FCB
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.2% | fair 1.47 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 31.8% | fair 3.14 |
| Both teams to score | 61.3% | fair 1.63 |
Most Likely Scores
| SEV 1-2 FCB | 9.6% | |
| SEV 0-2 FCB | 8.5% | |
| SEV 1-1 FCB | 8.0% | |
| SEV 1-3 FCB | 7.6% | |
| SEV 0-1 FCB | 7.1% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.0 | 7.1 | 8.5 | 6.8 | 4.1 | 3.1 |
| 1 | 3.3 | 8.0 | 9.6 | 7.6 | 4.6 | 3.5 |
| 2 | 1.9 | 4.5 | 5.4 | 4.3 | 2.6 | 1.9 |
| 3 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| 5+ | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
Rows: SEV goals · Columns: FCB goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).