SEV vs BET
Sevilla (home) vs Real Betis · model confidence 83% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
SEV win 35.0% fair 2.85
Draw 24.0% fair 4.16
BET win 40.9% fair 2.44
Expected Goals
SEV
1.42
—
1.61
BET
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.4% | fair 1.71 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41.6% | fair 2.40 |
| Both teams to score | 60.7% | fair 1.65 |
Most Likely Scores
| SEV 1-1 BET | 11.0% | |
| SEV 1-2 BET | 8.9% | |
| SEV 2-1 BET | 7.8% | |
| SEV 0-1 BET | 7.8% | |
| SEV 1-0 BET | 6.9% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.8 | 7.8 | 6.3 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 | 6.9 | 11.0 | 8.9 | 4.8 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| 2 | 4.9 | 7.8 | 6.3 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 3 | 2.3 | 3.7 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: SEV goals · Columns: BET goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).