SEV vs GET
Sevilla (home) vs Getafe · model confidence 83% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
SEV win 46.4% fair 2.16
Draw 27.0% fair 3.70
GET win 26.6% fair 3.76
Expected Goals
SEV
1.37
—
0.96
GET
| Over 2.5 goals | 41.2% | fair 2.43 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 58.8% | fair 1.70 |
| Both teams to score | 46.0% | fair 2.17 |
Most Likely Scores
| SEV 1-0 GET | 13.3% | |
| SEV 1-1 GET | 12.8% | |
| SEV 0-0 GET | 9.7% | |
| SEV 0-1 GET | 9.3% | |
| SEV 2-0 GET | 9.2% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.7 | 9.3 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 13.3 | 12.8 | 6.1 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.2 | 8.8 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 4.2 | 4.0 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: SEV goals · Columns: GET goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).