SEV vs LEV
Sevilla (home) vs Levante · model confidence 82% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
SEV win 47.4% fair 2.11
Draw 23.0% fair 4.35
LEV win 29.6% fair 3.38
Expected Goals
SEV
1.81
—
1.39
LEV
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.0% | fair 1.61 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38.0% | fair 2.63 |
| Both teams to score | 62.8% | fair 1.59 |
Most Likely Scores
| SEV 1-1 LEV | 10.3% | |
| SEV 2-1 LEV | 9.3% | |
| SEV 1-0 LEV | 7.4% | |
| SEV 1-2 LEV | 7.1% | |
| SEV 2-0 LEV | 6.7% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.1 | 5.7 | 3.9 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 7.4 | 10.3 | 7.1 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 6.7 | 9.3 | 6.4 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 4.0 | 5.6 | 3.9 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
Rows: SEV goals · Columns: LEV goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).