VAL vs FCB
Valencia (home) vs Barcelona · model confidence 82%
Match Outcome
VAL win 19.1% fair 5.24
Draw 19.8% fair 5.04
FCB win 61.1% fair 1.64
Expected Goals
VAL
1.00
—
2.20
FCB
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.0% | fair 1.61 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38.0% | fair 2.63 |
| Both teams to score | 56.3% | fair 1.78 |
Most Likely Scores
| VAL 1-2 FCB | 9.9% | |
| VAL 0-2 FCB | 9.9% | |
| VAL 1-1 FCB | 9.0% | |
| VAL 0-1 FCB | 9.0% | |
| VAL 1-3 FCB | 7.2% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.1 | 9.0 | 9.9 | 7.2 | 4.0 | 2.7 |
| 1 | 4.1 | 9.0 | 9.9 | 7.2 | 4.0 | 2.7 |
| 2 | 2.0 | 4.5 | 4.9 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 1.3 |
| 3 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: VAL goals · Columns: FCB goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).